Time-Series Forecasting Model: Including Case Studies With Real Electrical Loads
نویسنده
چکیده
The increase of electric power demand and cost of generation, make forecasting very economical to the supply authority and useful to reduce uncertainty to the consumer. Out of various forecasting models, Box-Jenkins time-series models are useful but costly to operate. Modified BJ model, having lot of advantages, were developed for long range forecast of electrical load and a frequency domain approach is developed for medium range forecast. The models were found to forecast well with an astronomical jump in forecasting lead-time.
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تاریخ انتشار 2003